Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.841118 0.973706 1.117254 1.283821 1.471371 1.675596 1.914377
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.665474 0.853698 1.075392 1.353949 1.692610 2.088890 2.585400
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.537824 0.754009 1.027592 1.394902 1.870239 2.459243 3.238171
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.463962 0.701958 1.022038 1.476108 2.094413 2.896561 4.003538
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.382543 0.622081 0.963121 1.472078 2.197815 3.178691 4.584073
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.316530 0.550929 0.902840 1.453000 2.270842 3.417295 5.115137
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.266312 0.494140 0.853516 1.439827 2.344899 3.655750 5.654767
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.234333 0.460806 0.834280 1.467095 2.476776 3.981163 6.333830
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.205938 0.428438 0.811370 1.483945 2.590889 4.284229 6.994655
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.180685 0.397219 0.785647 1.491791 2.688712 4.565638 7.635818
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.163396 0.377965 0.777735 1.527502 2.832339 4.924052 8.411729
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.145292 0.353947 0.757845 1.539289 2.935209 5.221833 9.106405
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.122169 0.315961 0.707862 1.493269 2.937914 5.361929 9.565794
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.112139 0.304658 0.708125 1.540014 3.106362 5.785203 10.507252
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.101913 0.291059 0.701938 1.573434 3.252723 6.179007 11.419889
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.097343 0.290063 0.721574 1.658751 3.499565 6.757252 12.668304
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.085798 0.269622 0.696977 1.652559 3.574019 7.038800 13.425555
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.074667 0.247935 0.666591 1.630849 3.616083 7.263721 14.093995
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.065487 0.229519 0.640991 1.616066 3.669296 7.509601 14.807935
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.060050 0.220570 0.636422 1.646097 3.813112 7.927400 15.844058
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.054554 0.210283 0.627214 1.664673 3.934384 8.308639 16.830114
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.049160 0.199123 0.614293 1.673323 4.035190 8.655563 17.767674
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.045701 0.193439 0.614684 1.712739 4.202822 9.137241 18.971977